Historical payoff versus option premium
Where do historical price scenarios imply a payoff above the current option cost?
Historical terminal-price scenarios compared with conservative option entry costs. Outcomes are estimates based on past price behavior, not probabilities inferred from the option price or guaranteed returns. Data through close. Descriptive only, not a recommendation.
At a glance
50 tickers qualified. First five: SNDK (Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.), MU (Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.), AXTI (Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.), MRVL (Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.), ARM (Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published.).
Evaluated 444 tickers with the required inputs. Tickers with missing history or ineligible quotes are excluded. At most 50 matches are published.
| # | Ticker | Close | Open interest | Research observation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SNDK | 1,126.52 | 982,404 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 2 | MU | 855.10 | 3,479,604 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 3 | AXTI | 51.33 | 251,609 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 4 | MRVL | 171.97 | 1,768,472 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 5 | ARM | 202.49 | 885,901 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 6 | AMD | 483.90 | 3,389,433 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 7 | DRAM | 47.64 | 2,786,348 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 8 | WDC | 347.35 | 526,150 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 9 | DELL | 408.31 | 691,193 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 10 | BE | 214.01 | 1,012,203 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 11 | CRCL | 75.22 | 733,846 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 12 | LITE | 680.16 | 309,290 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 13 | STX | 606.38 | 319,336 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 14 | SOXL | 73.12 | 1,822,485 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 15 | STM | 48.54 | 350,154 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 16 | TXN | 312.48 | 227,641 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 17 | MSFT | 520.99 | 3,491,797 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 18 | LRCX | 230.72 | 599,820 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 19 | ALAB | 233.62 | 249,220 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 20 | GOOGL | 280.03 | 4,011,233 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 21 | HSBC | 84.49 | 101,111 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 22 | IBM | 250.04 | 551,156 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 23 | SMH | 518.52 | 2,003,019 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 24 | TEVA | 41.91 | 290,842 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 25 | VLO | 387.65 | 181,779 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 26 | AMZN | 250.69 | 4,705,143 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 27 | PBR | 21.08 | 2,283,747 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 28 | CRM | 222.20 | 653,819 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 29 | UNH | 404.44 | 880,464 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 30 | PYPL | 58.21 | 1,537,077 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 31 | SU | 75.45 | 131,708 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 32 | SOXX | 465.00 | 743,042 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 33 | SHEL | 104.20 | 214,059 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 34 | USO | 158.17 | 1,630,037 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 35 | RKLB | 54.43 | 1,232,816 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 36 | BA | 173.31 | 1,065,921 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 37 | NEM | 107.47 | 457,680 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 38 | CVX | 225.24 | 516,756 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 39 | GLD | 359.26 | 5,216,616 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 40 | NOK | 8.48 | 2,995,286 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 41 | CNC | 67.48 | 266,245 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 42 | BB | 8.19 | 535,142 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 43 | PAGP | 27.61 | 122,963 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 44 | MPC | 427.34 | 111,203 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 45 | UBS | 48.00 | 111,994 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 46 | IBIT | 44.05 | 7,185,110 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 47 | SNOW | 295.04 | 570,952 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 48 | RCL | 313.17 | 114,438 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 49 | DOW | 33.79 | 443,604 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
| 50 | EWY | 155.06 | 1,279,020 | Matched the dated research filter. Contract details are not published. |
Screens describe what the data shows after the close. They are not trade recommendations; see the disclaimer and the methodology.