Data through close

MSTR max pain, gamma exposure (GEX) & options open interest

As of close · rank #42 by open interest · 1,394 sessions of history since Dec 1, 2020

MSTR's nearest-expiration max pain is 150.00 for 2026-10-09, its GEX flip is 140.18, net GEX is 34,106,998, its put/call open-interest ratio is 0.79. These are whole-chain derived aggregates as of Oct 2, 2026 close.

Close
160.01
prev 160.50
Gamma max
176.91
+10.6% from close
Delta neutral
140.30
-12.3% from close
Gamma neutral
140.18
-12.4% from close
Open interest
2,268,311
-14.3% vs prev
Contracts listed
2,074
1,375 calls · 1,087 puts

Whole-chain analytics

Derived after the close from the same dated options chain. Signed gamma exposure uses calls positive and puts negative; it is a model convention, not observed dealer inventory.

Nearest max pain
150.00
-6.3% from close
2026-10-09
GEX flip
140.18
-12.4% from close
Net GEX
34,106,998
1,503,630 per 100k OI
Call wall
160.00
-0.0% from close
Put wall
160.00
-0.0% from close
Put/call OI
0.79
999,959 puts / 1,268,352 calls

Advanced options analysis

Complete derived analysis from the dated chain, normalized where possible for comparison across tickers. Catalyst intensity measures unusual pricing and activity; it does not identify an event, predict direction, or establish that an investment is attractive.

Catalyst intensity
47.6
cross-sectional score / 100
Directional score
3.8
mixed positioning
IV rank
12.4
within trailing 52-week range
Front / back ATM IV
+61.7% / +65.8%
-4.0 pp front premium
Expected move
+8.6%
7 DTE · one standard deviation
ATM straddle / spot
+6.3%
front-window midpoint premium
25Δ risk reversal
-3.8 pp
put IV minus call IV
IV butterfly
1.0 pp
front-window smile convexity
Volume / open interest
0.37
998,467 contracts traded
Normalized net delta
0.112
option-holder convention
Modeled dealer delta
-0.105
opposite-side scenario
Vanna / 100k OI
1,500
volatility-sensitive delta
Charm / 100k OI
-1,225,074
time-decay-sensitive delta
IV surface range
72.7 pp
published contour maximum minus minimum

Strongest relative signals: volume/OI 0.37

Download the complete dated analysis JSON .

MSTR closed 10.6% below its gamma max of 176.91. It is 12.3% above the delta neutral price of 140.30. Total open interest is 2,268,311, -14.3% versus the previous session. Its options catalyst-intensity score is 47.6 out of 100, led by volume/OI 0.37. What gamma max means · What delta neutral means

Call versus put open interest changes

Growth compares outstanding contracts on each side. A positive growth gap favors calls; a negative gap favors puts. Standardized surprises compare each measure with its own prior history. These describe the OI balance, not IV skew or buying direction.

MSTR call and put open interest changes
Measure Value
Call OI change, 1 session -223,012 contracts · -15.0%
Put OI change, 1 session -156,132 contracts · -13.5%
Call minus put OI growth, 1 session -1.4 pp
Call OI change, 5 sessions +3,277 contracts · +0.3%
Put OI change, 5 sessions -30,765 contracts · -3.0%
Call minus put OI growth, 5 sessions +3.2 pp
Daily call OI change surprise -1.68σ (252 prior changes)
Daily put OI change surprise -1.77σ (252 prior changes)
Daily call-minus-put growth surprise -0.46σ (252 prior changes)

History

2025-10 2026-10
close delta neutral gamma max
Full history since 2020: drag to pan, scroll to zoom, hover for values. Open full-screen chart

Analysis visualizations

Derived from the 2026-10-02 options chain. Select an analysis to explore its chart.

Gamma walls

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What followed prior gamma-max crosses?

Each historical path starts at 0% on the cross date and follows the close for ten subsequent trading sessions. Cohorts use the same direction as labelled and require gamma max to be within 10% of the close on both crossing sessions.

Crosses below gamma max 33 completed Day +10 paths · latest Sep 24, 2026
MSTR returns after crossing below gamma max Historical close-to-close return paths from Day 0 through Day 10, with the median, middle fifty percent, and a nominal confidence interval for the median. -30.0% -15.0% 0% +15.0% +30.0% Cross on Jan 8, 2021 Cross on Jan 15, 2021 Cross on Feb 4, 2021 Cross on Feb 22, 2021 Cross on Jan 13, 2023 Cross on Jan 18, 2023 Cross on Jul 14, 2023 Cross on Oct 25, 2023 Cross on Feb 13, 2024 Cross on Feb 28, 2024 Cross on May 16, 2024 Cross on Sep 27, 2024 Cross on Oct 9, 2024 Cross on Oct 25, 2024 Cross on Nov 8, 2024 Cross on Nov 13, 2024 Cross on May 9, 2025 Cross on Jul 1, 2025 Cross on Jul 3, 2025 Cross on Jul 15, 2025 Cross on Jul 17, 2025 Cross on Aug 8, 2025 Cross on Sep 19, 2025 Cross on Oct 3, 2025 Cross on Jan 15, 2026 Cross on Mar 5, 2026 Cross on Apr 21, 2026 Cross on Apr 23, 2026 Cross on May 7, 2026 Cross on May 12, 2026 Cross on Jul 22, 2026 Cross on Aug 26, 2026 Cross on Sep 4, 2026 Day 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
prior crosses middle 50% of outcomes nominal ≥90% median interval median
MSTR historical gamma-max cross outcomes after closing below
Horizon n Median Middle 50% Above zero Nominal ≥90% median interval Confidence floor
Day +1 34 -0.0% -3.3% to +6.0% 50% -2.6% to +3.1% 0.0%
Day +2 34 -0.4% -5.4% to +5.1% 47% -3.3% to +3.3% 0.0%
Day +3 34 -1.3% -4.3% to +5.2% 44% -3.9% to +2.5% 0.0%
Day +4 34 -1.7% -6.9% to +4.4% 41% -5.3% to +2.9% 0.0%
Day +5 34 -1.6% -4.8% to +6.7% 38% -4.1% to +1.1% 0.0%
Day +6 34 -0.8% -6.1% to +11.3% 44% -4.8% to +4.7% 0.0%
Day +7 33 +0.2% -6.7% to +13.3% 55% -6.2% to +6.6% 0.0%
Day +8 33 +6.1% -7.4% to +12.8% 55% -3.4% to +10.0% 0.0%
Day +9 33 +7.7% -7.8% to +13.8% 64% -2.4% to +9.3% 0.0%
Day +10 33 +4.8% -9.4% to +18.0% 61% -1.6% to +13.3% 0.0%
Crosses above gamma max 34 completed Day +10 paths · latest Sep 18, 2026
MSTR returns after crossing above gamma max Historical close-to-close return paths from Day 0 through Day 10, with the median, middle fifty percent, and a nominal confidence interval for the median. -40.0% -20.0% 0% +20.0% +40.0% Cross on Jan 6, 2021 Cross on Feb 3, 2021 Cross on Feb 8, 2021 Cross on Jan 12, 2023 Cross on Jan 17, 2023 Cross on Jul 13, 2023 Cross on Oct 24, 2023 Cross on Feb 14, 2024 Cross on Feb 27, 2024 Cross on May 15, 2024 Cross on Sep 26, 2024 Cross on Oct 7, 2024 Cross on Oct 24, 2024 Cross on Nov 7, 2024 Cross on Nov 11, 2024 Cross on Jan 6, 2025 Cross on May 8, 2025 Cross on Jun 30, 2025 Cross on Jul 2, 2025 Cross on Jul 9, 2025 Cross on Jul 16, 2025 Cross on Aug 7, 2025 Cross on Sep 18, 2025 Cross on Oct 1, 2025 Cross on Jan 14, 2026 Cross on Mar 4, 2026 Cross on Apr 15, 2026 Cross on Apr 22, 2026 Cross on May 4, 2026 Cross on May 11, 2026 Cross on Jul 21, 2026 Cross on Aug 19, 2026 Cross on Aug 27, 2026 Cross on Sep 18, 2026 Day 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
prior crosses middle 50% of outcomes nominal ≥90% median interval median
MSTR historical gamma-max cross outcomes after closing above
Horizon n Median Middle 50% Above zero Nominal ≥90% median interval Confidence floor
Day +1 34 +0.1% -4.1% to +3.7% 50% -1.7% to +3.2% 0.0%
Day +2 34 -1.1% -4.4% to +7.5% 44% -3.2% to +3.9% 0.0%
Day +3 34 -1.9% -5.5% to +5.3% 38% -4.3% to +1.7% 0.0%
Day +4 34 -0.7% -6.2% to +5.9% 47% -3.0% to +4.8% 0.0%
Day +5 34 -0.9% -7.3% to +8.3% 47% -5.6% to +5.4% 0.0%
Day +6 34 +0.4% -8.3% to +8.5% 53% -5.5% to +4.4% 0.0%
Day +7 34 +0.1% -6.2% to +12.1% 50% -4.1% to +4.3% 0.0%
Day +8 34 +2.5% -6.4% to +15.2% 62% -3.4% to +9.5% 0.0%
Day +9 34 +4.2% -5.8% to +15.2% 62% -3.1% to +13.3% 0.0%
Day +10 34 +4.1% -7.0% to +14.2% 56% -4.0% to +10.5% 0.0%

Returns are close-to-close after the labelled number of subsequent trading sessions. The confidence floor is the closest-to-zero bound of the order-statistic median interval; it is zero when that interval spans zero. Its coverage is nominally at least 90% under independent observations. Historical paths can overlap, so the interval and floor are descriptive uncertainty guides rather than formal coverage guarantees. Historical, not a forecast.

Last 252 sessions

MSTR trailing historical statistics
Sessions closed above gamma max 9%
Gamma max crosses 23
Delta neutral crosses 48
Prior-year sessions closer to gamma max 59.9% of 252
Prior-year sessions closer to delta neutral 86.1% of 252
Open interest percentile (1y) 9th
Daily open interest change versus prior year -1.74σ (-379,144 contracts; 252 prior changes)
Open interest change, 5 sessions -1.2%
Open interest change, 21 sessions -16.9%
History available Dec 1, 2020 → Oct 2, 2026

Recent crosses

  1. closed below gamma max at 161.61 vs 173.94 (-7.6%)
  2. closed above gamma max at 153.92 vs 150.97 (+1.9%)
  3. closed below gamma max at 142.80 vs 147.12 (-3.0%)
  4. closed above gamma max at 144.82 vs 138.77 (+4.2%)
  5. closed below gamma max at 127.31 vs 144.34 (-13.4%)
  6. closed above gamma max at 137.40 vs 127.02 (+7.6%)
  7. closed below gamma max at 123.19 vs 123.52 (-0.3%)
  8. closed above delta neutral at 104.25 vs 93.55 (+10.3%)
  9. closed above gamma max at 104.25 vs 100.96 (+3.2%)
  10. closed below delta neutral at 92.52 vs 93.19 (-0.7%)

In today's screens

Neighbours by open interest

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Canonical source: https://halfonadouble.com/stock/MSTR

Questions people ask about MSTR

Where is MSTR's gamma max today?

As of Oct 2, 2026, the gamma max for MSTR is 176.91, +10.6% from the 160.01 close. Gamma max is the underlying price at which the summed gamma of every open contract is largest; how it is computed and why it matters.

Is MSTR above or below its delta neutral price?

MSTR closed above delta neutral: 160.01 against a delta neutral price of 140.30. The delta neutral price is where the summed delta of the whole chain is zero; the definition.

How much open interest does MSTR have?

2,268,311 contracts of open interest across 2,074 listed contracts on Oct 2, 2026, -14.3% versus the previous session. What open interest measures.

Levels are recomputed after every trading day from licensed end-of-day options data; only derived aggregates are published. Methodology · Data and licence · Not investment advice.