Data through close

MARA max pain, gamma exposure (GEX) & options open interest

As of close · rank #75 by open interest · 1,394 sessions of history since Dec 1, 2020

MARA's nearest-expiration max pain is 12.00 for 2026-10-09, its GEX flip is 10.46, net GEX is 12,460,980, its put/call open-interest ratio is 0.78. These are whole-chain derived aggregates as of Oct 2, 2026 close.

Close
11.23
prev 11.21
Gamma max
13.96
+24.3% from close
Delta neutral
10.41
-7.3% from close
Gamma neutral
10.46
-6.9% from close
Open interest
1,402,473
-13.1% vs prev
Contracts listed
634
396 calls · 345 puts

Whole-chain analytics

Derived after the close from the same dated options chain. Signed gamma exposure uses calls positive and puts negative; it is a model convention, not observed dealer inventory.

Nearest max pain
12.00
+6.9% from close
2026-10-09
GEX flip
10.46
-6.9% from close
Net GEX
12,460,980
888,501 per 100k OI
Call wall
12.00
+6.9% from close
Put wall
12.00
+6.9% from close
Put/call OI
0.78
613,156 puts / 789,317 calls

Advanced options analysis

Complete derived analysis from the dated chain, normalized where possible for comparison across tickers. Catalyst intensity measures unusual pricing and activity; it does not identify an event, predict direction, or establish that an investment is attractive.

Catalyst intensity
51.2
cross-sectional score / 100
Directional score
7.6
mixed positioning
IV rank
25.4
within trailing 52-week range
Front / back ATM IV
+77.7% / +82.9%
-5.2 pp front premium
Expected move
+10.8%
7 DTE · one standard deviation
ATM straddle / spot
+8.0%
front-window midpoint premium
25Δ risk reversal
-4.7 pp
put IV minus call IV
IV butterfly
4.0 pp
front-window smile convexity
Volume / open interest
0.22
352,747 contracts traded
Normalized net delta
0.054
option-holder convention
Modeled dealer delta
-0.054
opposite-side scenario
Vanna / 100k OI
3,928
volatility-sensitive delta
Charm / 100k OI
73,367
time-decay-sensitive delta
IV surface range
52.7 pp
published contour maximum minus minimum

Strongest relative signals: volume/OI 0.22 · 7d expected move +10.8%

Download the complete dated analysis JSON .

MARA closed 24.3% below its gamma max of 13.96. It is 7.3% above the delta neutral price of 10.41. Total open interest is 1,402,473, -13.1% versus the previous session. Its options catalyst-intensity score is 51.2 out of 100, led by volume/OI 0.22, 7d expected move +10.8%. What gamma max means · What delta neutral means

Call versus put open interest changes

Growth compares outstanding contracts on each side. A positive growth gap favors calls; a negative gap favors puts. Standardized surprises compare each measure with its own prior history. These describe the OI balance, not IV skew or buying direction.

MARA call and put open interest changes
Measure Value
Call OI change, 1 session -163,995 contracts · -17.2%
Put OI change, 1 session -47,739 contracts · -7.2%
Call minus put OI growth, 1 session -10.0 pp
Call OI change, 5 sessions +26,565 contracts · +3.5%
Put OI change, 5 sessions +19,624 contracts · +3.3%
Call minus put OI growth, 5 sessions +0.2 pp
Daily call OI change surprise -1.51σ (252 prior changes)
Daily put OI change surprise -1.01σ (252 prior changes)
Daily call-minus-put growth surprise -2.11σ (252 prior changes)

History

2025-10 2026-10
close delta neutral gamma max
Full history since 2020: drag to pan, scroll to zoom, hover for values. Open full-screen chart

Analysis visualizations

Derived from the 2026-10-02 options chain. Select an analysis to explore its chart.

Gamma walls

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What followed prior gamma-max crosses?

Each historical path starts at 0% on the cross date and follows the close for ten subsequent trading sessions. Cohorts use the same direction as labelled and require gamma max to be within 10% of the close on both crossing sessions.

Crosses below gamma max 38 completed Day +10 paths · latest Sep 23, 2026
MARA returns after crossing below gamma max Historical close-to-close return paths from Day 0 through Day 10, with the median, middle fifty percent, and a nominal confidence interval for the median. -54.0% -27.0% 0% +27.0% +54.0% Cross on Dec 8, 2020 Cross on Dec 10, 2020 Cross on Feb 4, 2021 Cross on Feb 9, 2021 Cross on Mar 12, 2021 Cross on Apr 1, 2021 Cross on Aug 10, 2021 Cross on Oct 19, 2021 Cross on Oct 26, 2021 Cross on Nov 3, 2021 Cross on Nov 9, 2021 Cross on Jul 8, 2022 Cross on Apr 12, 2023 Cross on Apr 14, 2023 Cross on Jun 22, 2023 Cross on Oct 25, 2023 Cross on Dec 5, 2023 Cross on Dec 19, 2023 Cross on Dec 22, 2023 Cross on Feb 9, 2024 Cross on Sep 27, 2024 Cross on Nov 12, 2024 Cross on Nov 25, 2024 Cross on Mar 25, 2025 Cross on Apr 23, 2025 Cross on Jul 3, 2025 Cross on Jul 11, 2025 Cross on Sep 19, 2025 Cross on Sep 30, 2025 Cross on Oct 16, 2025 Cross on Jan 6, 2026 Cross on Apr 10, 2026 Cross on Apr 21, 2026 Cross on May 7, 2026 Cross on Jun 9, 2026 Cross on Jun 12, 2026 Cross on Aug 21, 2026 Cross on Aug 26, 2026 Day 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
prior crosses middle 50% of outcomes nominal ≥90% median interval median
MARA historical gamma-max cross outcomes after closing below
Horizon n Median Middle 50% Above zero Nominal ≥90% median interval Confidence floor
Day +1 39 -1.2% -5.2% to +1.9% 41% -3.4% to +0.6% 0.0%
Day +2 39 +0.8% -4.8% to +5.1% 51% -2.4% to +2.3% 0.0%
Day +3 39 -0.2% -5.9% to +5.9% 49% -1.2% to +3.8% 0.0%
Day +4 39 +1.4% -7.2% to +10.6% 59% -4.6% to +5.4% 0.0%
Day +5 39 +0.3% -5.7% to +9.6% 51% -5.2% to +6.2% 0.0%
Day +6 39 +2.5% -4.4% to +9.3% 54% -1.8% to +7.8% 0.0%
Day +7 39 +0.8% -6.3% to +12.9% 51% -4.1% to +6.8% 0.0%
Day +8 38 -0.6% -8.0% to +10.2% 50% -3.1% to +3.1% 0.0%
Day +9 38 +3.0% -9.7% to +10.7% 61% -3.1% to +5.3% 0.0%
Day +10 38 +2.1% -9.8% to +21.2% 55% -4.9% to +8.3% 0.0%
Crosses above gamma max 38 completed Day +10 paths · latest Sep 22, 2026
MARA returns after crossing above gamma max Historical close-to-close return paths from Day 0 through Day 10, with the median, middle fifty percent, and a nominal confidence interval for the median. -52.0% -26.0% 0% +26.0% +52.0% Cross on Dec 9, 2020 Cross on Jan 6, 2021 Cross on Feb 3, 2021 Cross on Feb 8, 2021 Cross on Feb 16, 2021 Cross on Mar 11, 2021 Cross on Mar 31, 2021 Cross on Aug 5, 2021 Cross on Oct 11, 2021 Cross on Oct 15, 2021 Cross on Oct 25, 2021 Cross on Nov 2, 2021 Cross on Nov 8, 2021 Cross on Apr 11, 2023 Cross on Apr 13, 2023 Cross on Jun 20, 2023 Cross on Jul 13, 2023 Cross on Oct 24, 2023 Cross on Dec 4, 2023 Cross on Dec 18, 2023 Cross on Dec 21, 2023 Cross on Dec 27, 2023 Cross on Feb 8, 2024 Cross on Sep 26, 2024 Cross on Nov 11, 2024 Cross on Nov 22, 2024 Cross on Jul 2, 2025 Cross on Jul 9, 2025 Cross on Sep 18, 2025 Cross on Oct 14, 2025 Cross on Apr 8, 2026 Cross on Apr 14, 2026 Cross on May 6, 2026 Cross on Jun 11, 2026 Cross on Jul 23, 2026 Cross on Aug 20, 2026 Cross on Aug 25, 2026 Cross on Aug 27, 2026 Day 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
prior crosses middle 50% of outcomes nominal ≥90% median interval median
MARA historical gamma-max cross outcomes after closing above
Horizon n Median Middle 50% Above zero Nominal ≥90% median interval Confidence floor
Day +1 39 +1.0% -2.7% to +4.0% 56% -1.3% to +2.9% 0.0%
Day +2 39 +0.3% -6.7% to +6.8% 51% -4.9% to +3.1% 0.0%
Day +3 39 +3.0% -8.1% to +9.9% 59% -4.3% to +8.4% 0.0%
Day +4 39 +1.6% -8.2% to +12.4% 59% -4.5% to +10.4% 0.0%
Day +5 39 +1.2% -10.7% to +12.2% 51% -5.2% to +6.7% 0.0%
Day +6 39 +2.0% -11.4% to +12.6% 56% -6.9% to +8.2% 0.0%
Day +7 39 +1.0% -7.5% to +13.2% 54% -4.4% to +8.1% 0.0%
Day +8 39 +0.4% -8.6% to +17.9% 51% -4.8% to +6.1% 0.0%
Day +9 38 +0.3% -11.8% to +13.8% 50% -5.3% to +6.5% 0.0%
Day +10 38 +1.0% -12.5% to +10.1% 58% -8.4% to +5.1% 0.0%

Returns are close-to-close after the labelled number of subsequent trading sessions. The confidence floor is the closest-to-zero bound of the order-statistic median interval; it is zero when that interval spans zero. Its coverage is nominally at least 90% under independent observations. Historical paths can overlap, so the interval and floor are descriptive uncertainty guides rather than formal coverage guarantees. Historical, not a forecast.

Last 252 sessions

MARA trailing historical statistics
Sessions closed above gamma max 7%
Gamma max crosses 24
Delta neutral crosses 22
Prior-year sessions closer to gamma max 92.1% of 252
Prior-year sessions closer to delta neutral 38.9% of 252
Open interest percentile (1y) 2th
Daily open interest change versus prior year -1.38σ (-211,734 contracts; 252 prior changes)
Open interest change, 5 sessions +3.4%
Open interest change, 21 sessions -23.8%
History available Dec 1, 2020 → Oct 2, 2026

Recent crosses

  1. closed below gamma max at 13.35 vs 13.49 (-1.1%)
  2. closed above gamma max at 13.63 vs 13.52 (+0.8%)
  3. closed below gamma max at 10.67 vs 13.12 (-23.0%)
  4. closed above gamma max at 11.87 vs 11.62 (+2.1%)
  5. closed below gamma max at 11.22 vs 11.67 (-4.0%)
  6. closed above gamma max at 11.83 vs 11.66 (+1.5%)
  7. closed below gamma max at 11.26 vs 11.94 (-6.0%)
  8. closed above gamma max at 11.15 vs 10.44 (+6.4%)
  9. closed above delta neutral at 9.65 vs 9.41 (+2.4%)
  10. closed below delta neutral at 8.96 vs 9.37 (-4.6%)

In today's screens

Neighbours by open interest

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Canonical source: https://halfonadouble.com/stock/MARA

Questions people ask about MARA

Where is MARA's gamma max today?

As of Oct 2, 2026, the gamma max for MARA is 13.96, +24.3% from the 11.23 close. Gamma max is the underlying price at which the summed gamma of every open contract is largest; how it is computed and why it matters.

Is MARA above or below its delta neutral price?

MARA closed above delta neutral: 11.23 against a delta neutral price of 10.41. The delta neutral price is where the summed delta of the whole chain is zero; the definition.

How much open interest does MARA have?

1,402,473 contracts of open interest across 634 listed contracts on Oct 2, 2026, -13.1% versus the previous session. What open interest measures.

Levels are recomputed after every trading day from licensed end-of-day options data; only derived aggregates are published. Methodology · Data and licence · Not investment advice.