Data through close

MO max pain, gamma exposure (GEX) & options open interest

As of close · rank #327 by open interest · 1,394 sessions of history since Dec 1, 2020

MO's nearest-expiration max pain is 68.00 for 2026-10-09, its GEX flip is 64.74, net GEX is 12,660,334, its put/call open-interest ratio is 0.71. These are whole-chain derived aggregates as of Oct 2, 2026 close.

Close
67.35
prev 66.95
Gamma max
72.14
+7.1% from close
Delta neutral
65.43
-2.9% from close
Gamma neutral
64.74
-3.9% from close
Open interest
267,264
-6.5% vs prev
Contracts listed
468
254 calls · 249 puts

Whole-chain analytics

Derived after the close from the same dated options chain. Signed gamma exposure uses calls positive and puts negative; it is a model convention, not observed dealer inventory.

Nearest max pain
68.00
+1.0% from close
2026-10-09
GEX flip
64.74
-3.9% from close
Net GEX
12,660,334
4,737,014 per 100k OI
Call wall
70.00
+3.9% from close
Put wall
65.00
-3.5% from close
Put/call OI
0.71
110,947 puts / 156,317 calls

Advanced options analysis

Complete derived analysis from the dated chain, normalized where possible for comparison across tickers. Catalyst intensity measures unusual pricing and activity; it does not identify an event, predict direction, or establish that an investment is attractive.

Catalyst intensity
52.6
cross-sectional score / 100
Directional score
19.9
relatively bullish positioning
IV rank
67.2
within trailing 52-week range
Front / back ATM IV
+24.4% / +24.6%
-0.2 pp front premium
Expected move
+3.4%
7 DTE · one standard deviation
ATM straddle / spot
+2.2%
front-window midpoint premium
25Δ risk reversal
-129.2 pp
put IV minus call IV
IV butterfly
0.6 pp
front-window smile convexity
Volume / open interest
0.05
13,367 contracts traded
Normalized net delta
0.074
option-holder convention
Modeled dealer delta
-0.073
opposite-side scenario
Vanna / 100k OI
3,521
volatility-sensitive delta
Charm / 100k OI
-17,218
time-decay-sensitive delta
IV surface range
209.4 pp
published contour maximum minus minimum

Strongest relative signals: 25Δ risk reversal -129.2 pp · front IV premium -0.2 pp

Download the complete dated analysis JSON .

MO closed 7.1% below its gamma max of 72.14. It is 2.9% above the delta neutral price of 65.43. Total open interest is 267,264, -6.5% versus the previous session. Its options catalyst-intensity score is 52.6 out of 100, led by 25Δ risk reversal -129.2 pp, front IV premium -0.2 pp. What gamma max means · What delta neutral means

Call versus put open interest changes

Growth compares outstanding contracts on each side. A positive growth gap favors calls; a negative gap favors puts. Standardized surprises compare each measure with its own prior history. These describe the OI balance, not IV skew or buying direction.

MO call and put open interest changes
Measure Value
Call OI change, 1 session -12,250 contracts · -7.3%
Put OI change, 1 session -6,468 contracts · -5.5%
Call minus put OI growth, 1 session -1.8 pp
Call OI change, 5 sessions +1,739 contracts · +1.1%
Put OI change, 5 sessions +1,901 contracts · +1.7%
Call minus put OI growth, 5 sessions -0.6 pp
Daily call OI change surprise -1.21σ (252 prior changes)
Daily put OI change surprise -0.65σ (252 prior changes)
Daily call-minus-put growth surprise -0.44σ (252 prior changes)

History

2025-10 2026-10
close delta neutral gamma max
Full history since 2020: drag to pan, scroll to zoom, hover for values. Open full-screen chart

Analysis visualizations

Derived from the 2026-10-02 options chain. Select an analysis to explore its chart.

Gamma walls

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What followed prior gamma-max crosses?

Each historical path starts at 0% on the cross date and follows the close for ten subsequent trading sessions. Cohorts use the same direction as labelled and require gamma max to be within 10% of the close on both crossing sessions.

Crosses below gamma max 31 completed Day +10 paths · latest May 15, 2026
MO returns after crossing below gamma max Historical close-to-close return paths from Day 0 through Day 10, with the median, middle fifty percent, and a nominal confidence interval for the median. -6.0% -3.0% 0% +3.0% +6.0% Cross on Dec 11, 2020 Cross on Dec 15, 2020 Cross on Dec 21, 2020 Cross on Mar 19, 2021 Cross on Mar 30, 2021 Cross on Sep 3, 2021 Cross on Mar 7, 2022 Cross on Apr 22, 2022 Cross on Aug 12, 2022 Cross on Aug 19, 2022 Cross on Aug 26, 2022 Cross on Oct 14, 2022 Cross on Dec 2, 2022 Cross on Feb 2, 2023 Cross on Feb 14, 2023 Cross on Jul 7, 2023 Cross on Mar 13, 2024 Cross on May 17, 2024 Cross on Sep 5, 2024 Cross on Nov 1, 2024 Cross on Nov 14, 2024 Cross on Feb 21, 2025 Cross on Apr 1, 2025 Cross on Aug 1, 2025 Cross on Aug 13, 2025 Cross on Jan 16, 2026 Cross on Feb 9, 2026 Cross on Feb 18, 2026 Cross on Feb 20, 2026 Cross on May 6, 2026 Cross on May 15, 2026 Day 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
prior crosses middle 50% of outcomes nominal ≥90% median interval median
MO historical gamma-max cross outcomes after closing below
Horizon n Median Middle 50% Above zero Nominal ≥90% median interval Confidence floor
Day +1 31 -0.1% -0.9% to +0.7% 45% -0.4% to +0.3% 0.0%
Day +2 31 -0.0% -1.1% to +1.2% 45% -0.5% to +1.2% 0.0%
Day +3 31 +0.1% -1.2% to +1.1% 52% -0.9% to +0.7% 0.0%
Day +4 31 +0.1% -0.9% to +1.7% 52% -0.7% to +1.0% 0.0%
Day +5 31 +0.9% -1.5% to +2.1% 61% -0.6% to +1.7% 0.0%
Day +6 31 +0.5% -1.1% to +3.2% 65% -0.1% to +2.8% 0.0%
Day +7 31 +0.4% -1.3% to +2.2% 52% -1.0% to +1.9% 0.0%
Day +8 31 +0.8% -1.6% to +2.4% 52% -1.3% to +1.6% 0.0%
Day +9 31 -0.2% -2.1% to +2.8% 48% -0.9% to +1.4% 0.0%
Day +10 31 +0.7% -2.2% to +2.2% 55% -1.6% to +1.6% 0.0%
Crosses above gamma max 31 completed Day +10 paths · latest May 13, 2026
MO returns after crossing above gamma max Historical close-to-close return paths from Day 0 through Day 10, with the median, middle fifty percent, and a nominal confidence interval for the median. -8.0% -4.0% 0% +4.0% +8.0% Cross on Dec 9, 2020 Cross on Dec 14, 2020 Cross on Dec 16, 2020 Cross on Mar 8, 2021 Cross on Mar 26, 2021 Cross on Sep 2, 2021 Cross on Mar 2, 2022 Cross on Apr 21, 2022 Cross on Aug 11, 2022 Cross on Aug 16, 2022 Cross on Aug 25, 2022 Cross on Oct 13, 2022 Cross on Nov 30, 2022 Cross on Feb 1, 2023 Cross on Feb 13, 2023 Cross on Jul 3, 2023 Cross on Mar 12, 2024 Cross on May 14, 2024 Cross on Sep 3, 2024 Cross on Oct 31, 2024 Cross on Nov 13, 2024 Cross on Feb 20, 2025 Cross on Mar 31, 2025 Cross on Jul 31, 2025 Cross on Aug 6, 2025 Cross on Jan 13, 2026 Cross on Feb 4, 2026 Cross on Feb 11, 2026 Cross on Feb 19, 2026 Cross on Apr 30, 2026 Cross on May 13, 2026 Day 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
prior crosses middle 50% of outcomes nominal ≥90% median interval median
MO historical gamma-max cross outcomes after closing above
Horizon n Median Middle 50% Above zero Nominal ≥90% median interval Confidence floor
Day +1 31 +0.0% -0.8% to +0.8% 52% -0.4% to +0.7% 0.0%
Day +2 31 +0.4% -0.5% to +1.6% 65% 0.0% to +1.3% 0.0%
Day +3 31 +0.1% -0.8% to +1.6% 55% -0.5% to +1.3% 0.0%
Day +4 31 -0.3% -2.1% to +1.8% 48% -1.3% to +1.1% 0.0%
Day +5 31 +0.0% -1.9% to +1.9% 52% -0.9% to +1.3% 0.0%
Day +6 31 +0.0% -2.0% to +2.7% 52% -1.7% to +1.5% 0.0%
Day +7 31 +0.3% -2.3% to +3.3% 52% -1.0% to +2.7% 0.0%
Day +8 31 -0.0% -2.0% to +2.4% 48% -1.4% to +1.2% 0.0%
Day +9 31 +0.2% -2.2% to +2.7% 52% -1.2% to +1.5% 0.0%
Day +10 31 -0.2% -1.6% to +4.3% 48% -1.4% to +1.7% 0.0%

Returns are close-to-close after the labelled number of subsequent trading sessions. The confidence floor is the closest-to-zero bound of the order-statistic median interval; it is zero when that interval spans zero. Its coverage is nominally at least 90% under independent observations. Historical paths can overlap, so the interval and floor are descriptive uncertainty guides rather than formal coverage guarantees. Historical, not a forecast.

Last 252 sessions

MO trailing historical statistics
Sessions closed above gamma max 7%
Gamma max crosses 12
Delta neutral crosses 10
Prior-year sessions closer to gamma max 76.2% of 252
Prior-year sessions closer to delta neutral 34.1% of 252
Open interest percentile (1y) 11th
Daily open interest change versus prior year -1.01σ (-18,718 contracts; 252 prior changes)
Open interest change, 5 sessions +1.4%
Open interest change, 21 sessions -35.1%
History available Dec 1, 2020 → Oct 2, 2026

Recent crosses

  1. closed above delta neutral at 68.47 vs 67.23 (+1.8%)
  2. closed below delta neutral at 67.94 vs 69.15 (-1.8%)
  3. closed below gamma max at 73.09 vs 73.94 (-1.2%)
  4. closed above gamma max at 71.54 vs 71.33 (+0.3%)
  5. closed below gamma max at 70.33 vs 72.41 (-3.0%)
  6. closed above gamma max at 72.54 vs 71.17 (+1.9%)
  7. closed below gamma max at 67.57 vs 69.65 (-3.1%)
  8. closed above gamma max at 67.99 vs 67.86 (+0.2%)
  9. closed below gamma max at 66.77 vs 66.83 (-0.1%)
  10. closed above gamma max at 65.92 vs 65.51 (+0.6%)

In today's screens

Neighbours by open interest

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Canonical source: https://halfonadouble.com/stock/MO

Questions people ask about MO

Where is MO's gamma max today?

As of Oct 2, 2026, the gamma max for MO is 72.14, +7.1% from the 67.35 close. Gamma max is the underlying price at which the summed gamma of every open contract is largest; how it is computed and why it matters.

Is MO above or below its delta neutral price?

MO closed above delta neutral: 67.35 against a delta neutral price of 65.43. The delta neutral price is where the summed delta of the whole chain is zero; the definition.

How much open interest does MO have?

267,264 contracts of open interest across 468 listed contracts on Oct 2, 2026, -6.5% versus the previous session. What open interest measures.

Levels are recomputed after every trading day from licensed end-of-day options data; only derived aggregates are published. Methodology · Data and licence · Not investment advice.