ยท wrinkle brain plays ยท 3 min read
Wrinkle Brain Plays
Plays for Execution on April 17, 2023. In the style of Barney Stinson.
Tickers of Interest - TL;DR
Gamma Max Cross
- BAC 05/19 29P for $0.55 or less
- MO 05/19 45P for $0.85 or less
- TECK 05/19 45P for $1.95 or less
- APO 05/19 62.5P for $2.05 or less
- OIH 05/19 285P for $8.75 or less
Delta Neutral Cross
- F 05/19 12P for $0.40 or less
- C 05/19 49P for $1.05 or less
- WFC 05/19 37.5P for $0.55 or less
- NIO 05/19 10C for $0.40 or less
- PYPL 05/19 75P for $3.00 or less
Trading Thesis - Why These Crayons Taste Better ๐๏ธ๐
Suit up, traders! Letโs talk about the legen - wait for it - dary strategy thatโs gonna make you richer than a chocolate cake! ๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ฐ
Hereโs the deal: weโre using fancy math (option open interest) to find the sweet spot where portfolio-level greeks (Delta and Gamma) work their magic. ๐ซ๐งโโ๏ธ
Sometimes, tickers go wild at delta neutral, gamma max, or even both! ๐ข๐ Weโre using these price level parties from the past to drive our trading signals. ๐
Our plays and target entry prices are calculated with a binomial option pricing model thatโs cooler than a polar bearโs toenails. ๐พโ๏ธ The best plays make money from the directional move and the increase in IV. ๐
Notes - Wrinkling Your Brain ๐ง ๐ฎ
If the price has moved past the entry price, hold your horses! ๐ดโ ๏ธ Something changed, so be careful. Sell half your position on a double and freeroll the rest. ๐ฒ๐ธ
I risk up to 1% of my capital on trades, but if Iโm feeling less confident, Iโll go for 0.5% or even 0.25%. ๐ผ๐ฐ
Keep in mind that these trades are based on info up to yesterday. New price movement might make our thesis so yesterday. ๐๐
FAQ - Answering Your Burning Questions ๐ฅโ
- Are these plays mostly puts? Are you a gay bear? ๐ป๐ Nope! Itโs just that these companies are overextended, like a rubber band ready to snap back. ๐๐
- Am I entering all these plays? Nah! Iโm just helping you apes find more gain porn. ๐ฆ๐ช๐ฌ
- New play on the same ticker? It means the old play is outdated like a flip phone. ๐๐ซ Stick to the new one!
- Canโt find the crayons? ๐๏ธ๐ Click the links above, my friend!
- Back-tested? You bet! Results show a Sharpe Ratio of 1.76 and a 63% win rate (ยฑ7%). ๐๐
- Historical performance? Realized Sharpe Ratio of 1.85 and a 68% win rate. Thereโs a 95% chance the expected win rate will be between 63% and 75% (as of 2023-03-31). ๐๐
Now, suit up, pick your plays, and letโs get that gain porn! ๐๐๐ฐ