# Options catalyst watch

Canonical: https://halfonadouble.com/screens/options-catalyst-watch
Data through: 2026-09-17 close
Publisher: Half on a Double

Which liquid chains showed the strongest combined evidence of an options-implied catalyst on Sep 17, 2026?

A transparent 0–100 cross-sectional score built from four equally weighted groups: volatility level, front-versus-back term premium, volume/open-interest activity, and skew/smile shape. Correlated measurements share a group so one volatility surface does not receive several votes. This flags unusual pricing, not a known event or expected direction.

50 published matches, in the same order as the HTML screen.

| Ticker | Close (USD/share) | Open interest (contracts) | Catalyst score / strongest drivers |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [WBD](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/WBD) | 28.24 | 3,179,358 | 77.9 · front IV premium 39.3 pp; smile convexity -52.4 pp; 25Δ risk reversal 7.9 pp |
| [GME](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/GME) | 22.77 | 1,822,316 | 72.3 · 25Δ risk reversal -18.2 pp; front IV premium 5.2 pp; IV rank 100 |
| [SPX](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/SPX) | 7,637.76 | 20,175,294 | 70.2 · front IV premium 96.2 pp; smile convexity 245.6 pp; 25Δ risk reversal 10.5 pp |
| [RIG](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/RIG) | 5.66 | 1,225,732 | 69.9 · OI change 0.98σ; front IV premium 4.7 pp; 25Δ risk reversal 6.4 pp |
| [VIX](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/VIX) | 15.44 | 10,602,005 | 68.3 · 34d expected move +24.6%; 25Δ risk reversal -131.0 pp; OI change 0.48σ |
| [SPY](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/SPY) | 762.60 | 21,116,255 | 68.1 · volume/OI 0.55; IV rank 100; 25Δ risk reversal 7.1 pp |
| [SPCX](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/SPCX) | 154.81 | 4,583,649 | 67.0 · volume/OI 0.31; OI change 0.66σ; IV rank 100 |
| [SNAP](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/SNAP) | 5.65 | 1,489,517 | 66.4 · 25Δ risk reversal -11.2 pp; OI change 0.52σ; 8d expected move +8.6% |
| [CIFR](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/CIFR) | 16.94 | 1,744,250 | 66.1 · 8d expected move +15.3%; front IV premium 3.6 pp; OI change 0.45σ |
| [BABA](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/BABA) | 108.54 | 2,365,474 | 65.6 · front IV premium 9.2 pp; smile convexity 19.8 pp; volume/OI 0.11 |
| [IWM](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/IWM) | 285.38 | 10,824,276 | 64.2 · IV rank 100; volume/OI 0.15; smile convexity 13.3 pp |
| [TLT](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/TLT) | 81.78 | 13,237,604 | 63.9 · front IV premium 4.8 pp; smile convexity 17.1 pp; IV rank 100 |
| [SPXW](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/SPXW) | 7,640.32 | 5,373,379 | 63.6 · volume/OI 0.66; OI change 0.70σ; smile convexity 8.8 pp |
| [USO](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/USO) | 155.31 | 1,903,347 | 63.0 · front IV premium 0.2 pp; IV rank 94 |
| [RKT](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/RKT) | 12.57 | 1,306,729 | 61.0 · IV rank 100; OI change 0.46σ; 8d expected move +8.6% |
| [NVO](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/NVO) | 43.19 | 1,459,229 | 60.9 · front IV premium 5.4 pp |
| [RKLB](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/RKLB) | 67.82 | 1,236,669 | 60.9 · front IV premium 3.2 pp; 8d expected move +10.8%; volume/OI 0.13 |
| [CRWV](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/CRWV) | 79.88 | 2,578,824 | 60.9 · volume/OI 0.21; 8d expected move +12.0% |
| [AAPL](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/AAPL) | 337.00 | 5,226,142 | 58.8 · OI change 0.64σ; smile convexity 19.3 pp; volume/OI 0.25 |
| [IEF](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/IEF) | 91.25 | 1,410,039 | 58.4 · OI change 1.91σ; IV rank 100; front IV premium 1.0 pp |
| [CRWD](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/CRWD) | 245.70 | 1,399,293 | 58.1 · IV rank 100; front IV premium 1.0 pp; 8d expected move +8.6% |
| [XOM](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/XOM) | 163.27 | 1,134,080 | 57.5 · 25Δ risk reversal 124.6 pp; IV rank 100; front IV premium 0.7 pp |
| [XLU](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/XLU) | 41.69 | 1,948,873 | 57.4 · smile convexity 294.3 pp; front IV premium 6.1 pp; 25Δ risk reversal 7.1 pp |
| [ORCL](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/ORCL) | 150.59 | 3,476,457 | 57.0 · volume/OI 0.13 |
| [XLE](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/XLE) | 64.47 | 4,863,035 | 56.5 · front IV premium 1.9 pp; 25Δ risk reversal 6.2 pp |
| [KRE](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/KRE) | 72.74 | 2,084,067 | 56.5 · OI change 0.63σ; front IV premium 1.1 pp; 25Δ risk reversal 5.7 pp |
| [UBER](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/UBER) | 70.87 | 1,427,825 | 56.4 · IV rank 100; smile convexity 10.0 pp |
| [GRAB](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/GRAB) | 2.81 | 1,957,658 | 56.3 · 25Δ risk reversal -9.8 pp; IV rank 100 |
| [BMNR](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/BMNR) | 23.89 | 1,669,913 | 55.6 · 8d expected move +11.3%; OI change 0.36σ; 25Δ risk reversal -5.3 pp |
| [AVGO](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/AVGO) | 347.30 | 2,435,212 | 55.0 · IV rank 100; volume/OI 0.12; OI change 0.35σ |
| [FXI](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/FXI) | 34.19 | 3,946,663 | 54.5 · front IV premium 3.5 pp; smile convexity 15.6 pp; 25Δ risk reversal 6.4 pp |
| [EFA](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/EFA) | 106.04 | 1,338,260 | 54.4 · front IV premium 1.3 pp; OI change 0.43σ |
| [HOOD](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/HOOD) | 109.81 | 1,858,738 | 53.9 · OI change 0.61σ; volume/OI 0.16; 8d expected move +9.2% |
| [NOK](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/NOK) | 10.60 | 3,839,875 | 52.8 · 25Δ risk reversal -7.2 pp; 8d expected move +9.1% |
| [SOXL](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/SOXL) | 114.82 | 1,616,842 | 52.7 · volume/OI 0.20; 25Δ risk reversal 9.3 pp; OI change 0.45σ |
| [MARA](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/MARA) | 11.64 | 1,898,518 | 52.7 · 8d expected move +13.1%; front IV premium 1.1 pp |
| [MRVL](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/MRVL) | 240.76 | 1,827,144 | 52.2 · front IV premium 1.5 pp; 8d expected move +9.9%; volume/OI 0.12 |
| [HTZ](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/HTZ) | 1.86 | 1,342,395 | 52.1 · 25Δ risk reversal 19.8 pp; IV rank 100 |
| [LQD](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/LQD) | 105.16 | 2,641,536 | 51.6 · OI change 0.98σ; front IV premium 0.2 pp |
| [BAC](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/BAC) | 58.18 | 2,434,508 | 51.3 · IV rank 100 |
| [TQQQ](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/TQQQ) | 71.38 | 1,720,687 | 51.1 · volume/OI 0.20; 25Δ risk reversal 9.6 pp; smile convexity 14.3 pp |
| [F](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/F) | 13.61 | 1,930,623 | 51.0 · broad signal |
| [RIVN](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/RIVN) | 15.40 | 2,392,848 | 51.0 · smile convexity 18.3 pp; 25Δ risk reversal -14.2 pp; 8d expected move +8.6% |
| [AAL](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/AAL) | 12.94 | 2,220,901 | 50.7 · OI change 0.52σ; IV rank 100; 25Δ risk reversal -5.2 pp |
| [MSTR](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/MSTR) | 132.25 | 2,826,390 | 50.6 · 8d expected move +10.3%; volume/OI 0.13 |
| [AMD](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/AMD) | 545.09 | 3,296,643 | 50.3 · volume/OI 0.26; OI change 0.33σ |
| [VZ](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/VZ) | 48.33 | 1,147,876 | 50.0 · IV rank 100; smile convexity 16.4 pp |
| [XLF](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/XLF) | 55.88 | 6,907,922 | 50.0 · smile convexity 34.9 pp; front IV premium 5.6 pp; 25Δ risk reversal 6.1 pp |
| [QQQ](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/QQQ) | 716.92 | 12,740,183 | 49.8 · volume/OI 0.55; 25Δ risk reversal 5.1 pp |
| [NU](https://halfonadouble.com/stock/NU) | 13.84 | 1,995,455 | 49.6 · IV rank 100; smile convexity 13.2 pp; OI change 0.36σ |

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