# Historical payoff versus option premium

Canonical: https://halfonadouble.com/screens/historical-payoff-value
Data through: 2026-09-22 close
Publisher: Half on a Double

Where do historical price scenarios imply a payoff above the current option cost?

Historical terminal-price scenarios compared with conservative option entry costs. Outcomes are estimates based on past price behavior, not probabilities inferred from the option price or guaranteed returns.

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[Definitions and limitations](https://halfonadouble.com/methodology.md).